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Nominate-best-2010

The Herald's horrible pollster puff piece

Today's Herald homage to Suffolk U. pollster David Paleologos is a bit of a debacle. Here's why:

1. Reporter Marie Szaniszlo claims Palelogos "has proven more accurate than larger pollsters." Her second piece of evidence: Paleologos putting Barack Obama ahead by five points in the New Hampshire Democratic primary race. That would be reasonable if, as the Herald claims, Obama won by three. But Hillary Clinton won New Hampshire. (Blue Mass. Group noted this error earlier today.)

2. Just before the New Hampshire Republican primary, Palelogos had Mitt Romney in the lead. Other pollsters had John McCain leading. McCain won.

3. In the Massachusetts Democratic primary, Paleologos put Obama ahead by 2 percentage points. Everyone else had Clinton in the lead. Clinton won in a landslide.

4. Paleologos had Obama winning California. He wasn't the only one who got it wrong. But he still got it wrong.

5. In her lede, Szaniszlo sets up a David-and-Goliath narrative, with "polling giant Zogby" showing Clinton and Obama tied just before Ohio's Democratic primary and "a small polling center based at Suffolk University" putting Clinton ahead 52-40. Clinton won by ten points. Good for Paleologos, but good for a few other pollsters, too, all of whom go unmentioned.

Maybe this misguided attempt to praise Paleologos had nothing to do with former Herald business editor Greg Gatlin's recent appointment as Suffolk University's director of public affairs. But it sure reads like it did.

UPDATE: Gatlin hasn't yet started at Suffolk; he begins next week.

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8 Comments

  • Southender said:

    Try posting a comment on the story.. You can't because the anti-bot security code comes up "wrong" (even when the correct code provided is entered). Ironic, considering the Herald is the first to unmercifully dish out criticism of others' mistakes, but apparently can't take criticism of its own mistakes.  

    March 6, 2008 8:57 PM
  • Aging Cynic said:

    Southender,

    Thank you! I thought I was losing my mind, (the little I have left). Their software supposedly is timer-based, with the code expiring after an undisclosed period.Baloney. Knuckle dragging racists and monosyllabic morons manage to post comments, however. I once complained about the site's flaws to the manager thereof. For some reason, Erin Purcell didn't want to take it upstairs.

    March 7, 2008 3:39 PM
  • Michael Goldman said:

    Adam: I will comment on only one aspect of your item...I was the on site analyst in NH for WBZ radio's coverage of the NH Primary...

    On the Tuesday morning of primary day at 6:30AM David Paleologus was on his way to do an appearence on WRKO's morning show which was right next door to our radio site...A lontime friend and colleague, David shared with me his final wave of Monday nite numbers...

    Contrary to every other pollsters, David said he had Hillary in the lead against Barak...

    To say the least, i was stunned...

    To his credit, and though no one else had Hillary in the lead David reported them on the air.

    At least on that one, david hit it out of the park...

    March 7, 2008 7:10 PM
  • Adam Isanidiot said:

    Adam, you are not a media critic. You are a fucking idiot. Though you may be a world class, douche bag, you shold at least try to keep your paper and its online presense respectable. That said, do not try to fuck a sheep when you can't get a hard on. That comment about the Herald story being a big Gatlin-to-Suffolk-farewell-and-hello blowjob is nearly as moronic as the idea that you could be employed as a daily reporter. If you had been a daily reporter you would realize that you cannot just toss an idea out there, without having anything but your tiny balls to back it up. How about this, "Adam is a fucking tool." See, now that's backed up by everything you've written.

    March 7, 2008 7:29 PM
  • Adam said:

    AIAI, could you please be more specific?

    If you'd like, you can start by tackling points 1, 2, 3, 4 or 5 of this post.

    March 7, 2008 7:47 PM
  • Aging Cynic said:

    Adam,

    As the Herald loves to remind us, the appearance of impropriety can be as bad as the real thing.  Hoist on their own petard, eh?

    March 7, 2008 9:01 PM
  • Devine said:

    Forgive me for being tardy to the party, but I'd like to submit AIAI's bestial suggestion as a quarter-point leader for "Best Advice of 2008."  It's smart, it's compact, it's meaningful ... it's the kind of thing you make sure you tell your son when he grows up to be a man, you know?  Proud of you, dude.

    March 7, 2008 11:25 PM
  • sebastian melmoth said:

    Instead of attacking the poor overworked general assignment reporter who got thrown this turd, why not ask who the F assigned/edited the damn story ... ? and really, adam, it was schmucky to offer up that gatlin speculation without lifting the damn receiver. can't have it both ways. jurkowitz knew how to dial a phone.

    March 9, 2008 1:58 PM

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