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Hollywood gives Bush the finger

Why lefty films look good for Oscar
By PETER KEOUGH  |  January 26, 2006

GIVING BUSH THE FINGER? Or are the Academy's intentions illusory?Except for a few agitators like Sean Penn and Barbra Streisand, people in Hollywood prefer to play down their liberal bent. It can be bad for business, and it can lead to trouble with the real powers that be. Sure, Michael Moore’s movies make a pile of money, and his bad behavior might draw the curious to the Oscar broadcast, but who needs the grief from Bill O’Reilly or Governor Jeb Bush?

The spirit of protest and left-wing politics simmers below the surface, though, waiting to erupt. Lately, as the seemingly unstoppable Republican juggernaut stumbles, beleaguered by scandal, lies, intractable war, and crimes against democracy (the same factors that got it into power in the first place), that moment may have arrived.

Enlisting Jon Stewart as host of the show certainly sends a message. Unless he takes a dive like Chris Rock last year, expect bleeps from the censors, flak from the FCC, and condemnation from the usual suspects. But his barbs would provide only annoying background chatter if it weren’t for a slate of nominees that take a political stand on the traditional checklist of liberal issues.

It doesn’t take a genius to predict that Brokeback Mountain will get a ton of nominations, but who could have guessed that way back when the Venice Film Festival gave it the Golden Lion? Following the lead of just about every critics group and the Golden Globes, the Academy will nominate the film for Best Picture, Ang Lee for Best Director, Heath Ledger for Best Actor, Jake Gyllenhaal for Best Supporting Actor, and Michelle Williams for Best Supporting Actress. Anne Hathaway will come up empty; of the two wives in the film, she seems the most empowered and the least long-suffering. Instead, Amy Adams will grab that spot as the perky pregnant wife in Junebug.

For the first time, then, Hollywood will celebrate the love that dared not speak its name. And why not? Brokeback Mountain has forbidden love, scene-stealing performances, lush landscapes, and an inoffensive but still provocative political agenda. Everything that makes an Oscar contender — except a historical event or a true-life character. But plenty of other films have that. Like Capote, Bennett Miller’s sneakily subtle fictionalization of the true story of how Truman Capote fictionalized a true story into his “non-fiction novel,” In Cold Blood. Miller’s analysis of truth, art, journalism, and fame has a lot to say about today’s sensationalized celebrity media. Still, Academy members will be more impressed by Philip Seymour Hoffman’s amazing performance and nominate him for Best Actor. Hoffman will join Ledger and, for Best Actress, Felicity Huffman’s Transamerica transsexual in this year’s gay landslide. Catherine Keener, meanwhile, will take a Best Supporting Actress slot, not for her work in The 40-Year-Old Virgin but for playing a 40-year-old virgin, Harper Lee, in Capote.

Brokeback, then, will nudge out Capote as the gay candidate in the Best Picture category, and Good Night, and Good Luck will take Capote’s spot as the journalistic representative. The ongoing stir over the role of the media, free expression, government repression, and the rights of smokers can only help this claustrophobic study of Edward R. Murrow’s stand against Senator Joseph McCarthy. The Academy will also nominate liberal lightning rod George Clooney for Best Director and David Strathairn for Best Actor.

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Peter Keough's Oscar-nominee predictions:

Best Film
Brokeback Mountain
Constant Gardener?
Goodnight, and Good Luck
Walk the Line
Best Director
George Clooney, Good Night, and Good Luck
Paul Haggis, Crash
Ang Lee, Brokeback Mountain
Fernando Meirelles, The Constant Gardener
Steven Spielberg, Munich
Best Actor
Russell Crowe, Cinderella Man
Philip Seymour Hoffman, Capote
Heath Ledger, Brokeback Mountain
Joaquin Phoenix, Walk the Line
David Strathairn, Good Night, and Good Luck
Best Actress
Judi Dench, Mrs. Henderson Presents
Felicity Huffman, Transamerica
Charlize Theron, North Country
Reese Witherspoon, Walk the Line
Ziyi Zhang, Memoirs of a Geisha
Best Supporting Actor
Don Cheadle, Crash
George Clooney, Syriana
Matt Dillon, Crash
Paul Giamatti, Cinderella Man
Jake Gyllenhaal, Brokeback Mountain
Best Supporting Actress
Amy Adams, Junebug
Catherine Keener, Capote
Frances McDormand, North Country
Rachel Weisz, The Constant Gardener
Michelle Williams, Brokeback Mountain

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