Monday, January 23, 2006

Count me as one fan who thinks we’re giving up too much to get Coco Crisp.  

Yeah, he’s a young, relatively cheap player who can play fine defense, hits for ~.300 average from both sides of the plate, has a little power, and could bat lead-off if we wanted him to. In other words, he fills all our most glaring needs.

But giving up Andy Marte and Guillermo Mota and Kelly Shoppach to get him?

Marte is the best prospect we have. He’s the best hitting prospect we’ve had in more than a decade. (Remember this guy?) By some estimates, he’s one of the top five prospects in all of baseball, someone who could conceivably be putting up superstar numbers by 2007.

And we’re handing him over to an AL team that’s good and getting better, one that already a strong, young core. Why do I have the feeling we’ll be regretting this in a big way before too long?

What do we get in return? Crisp, a solid bullpen arm in David Riske, and a below-the-Mendoza-Line nonentity like Josh Bard?

This is way out of whack. Riske is a better pitcher than Mota, but Shoppach is more valuable that Bard. And while Crisp is a fine player who will be very welcome and may well thrive here, it’s this writer’s opinion that getting him by giving up a player of Marte’s potential is a little much.

Sure, he’s “just a prospect.” One who’s put up pretty lousy numbers in winter ball so far. And, yes, the deal isn’t even official yet. (Here's another potential verision, even worse, where we don't even get Riske.) But how many times have you hard Jeff Bagwell’s name invoked as the quintessence of a shortsighted, lopsided, one-that-got-away trade? If you believe some analysts, Marte could one day be even better than Bagwell.

If Mike Lowell doesn’t rebound at third base this year, we may well regret not having Andy Marte to step in and give it a shot. And if Andy Marte is hitting like Albert Pujols in 2007, well, we’ll regret that even more.

We’re giving away a potential superstar to make up the difference between Crisp and lesser outfielders outfielder like Dave Roberts (Crisp hits for 25 more points or so on his average) or Jason Michaels (Crisp never beat up a cop).

Maybe it had to be done. And maybe Marte is wildly overrated. But I’ve got a queasy feeling about this one.

Meanwhile, I’m perplexed, to say the least, about the need to sign Alex Gonzalez when Alex Cora could put up similar numbers and field almost as well for cheaper. (More discussion here.)

Um, In Theo we trust?

1/23/2006 12:51:32 PM by Mike Miliard | Comments [0] |  
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