Tuesday, October 30, 2007
I ignored the September American Research Group poll showing Romney leading in South Carolina, because it just looked too much like an error: nobody jumps from single digits to 26% in a month. Plus, the same poll had Fred Thompson plummeting from the mid-20s to 10% at the same time. Couldn't be. Well, ARG's October SC poll purports to show the same dynamic: Romney 29%, Giuliani 23%, McCain 13%, Thompson 10%. A couple of other SC polls -- Rasmussen and Insider Advantage -- in late September/early October showed Romney jumping to 15 and 16 percent. That's significant movement. But 29%? (The ARG polls are also the only ones that have Fred Thompson below 20%.) So I'm passing the news along about Romney's apparent stunning surge in SC, but I still say it looks fishy to me.
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