LISTINGS |  EDITOR'S PICKS |  NEWS |  MUSIC |  MOVIES |  DINING |  LIFE |  ARTS |  REC ROOM |  CLASSIFIEDS | VIDEO
        
Talking Politics - Gabrieli's revenge


Monday, April 10, 2006


Gabrieli's revenge


Not that that's his motivation, necessarily, but this new poll strongly suggests that Chris Gabrieli is sucking tons of support from Tom Reilly and barely any from Deval Patrick.

Consider: five weeks ago, Reilly led Patrick, 47 percent to 37 percent, among likely Democratic primary voters. Now Patrick's at 36 percent and Reilly at 33, with Gabrieli at 19 and undecideds at 11. That's a 14-percentage-point drop for Reilly, compared to just one for Patrick.

These results aren't wildly surprising--back when he was the frontrunner, I kept hearing that support for Reilly was broad but not deep, and Patrick's inspired a quasi-religious devotion among his backers. So here's my question: just how solid is Reilly's core? My hunch is, Reilly's numbers drop even further if Gabrieli has a few good weeks. But I could be totally wrong.

Thoughts, anyone?

4/10/2006 1:49:00 PM by Adam Reilly | Comments [5] |  



Monday, April 10, 2006 4:10:53 PM (Eastern Standard Time, UTC-05:00)
It’s hard to believe that Gabrieli is so vindictive that he would just be running to hurt Reilly. If that's not his motivation, the question Gabrieli hasn’t answered, but needs to, is what’s wrong with Patrick? Unless Chris can explain why he thinks Patrick shouldn’t be our next governor, he shouldn’t be running.
Greg Reibman
Monday, April 10, 2006 5:54:14 PM (Eastern Standard Time, UTC-05:00)
Quasi-religious? As an athiest and Deval supporter, I resent that. :)

I met Gabrieli on Saturday (at the Greater Lowell Area Dems meeting) and heard him speak at length, which I will be posting about as soon as I can find the time (I was FURIOUSLY taking notes, not every day that such an opportunity falls on a blogger's lap unannounced) but here's what I think: Gabrieli has fallen for the hype that he's the only guy who can save the Democratic party from another gubernatorial loss. The insiders of the party, in a panic (because god forbid they back Patrick, who's not beholden to them at all really), turned to Gabrieli as their savior, and he swallowed it hook, line, and sinker.

Besides the inherent contradiction of complimenting his opponants ("they're both good candidates") and yet saying over and over that he jumped in the race because he thought he could win the general where the others would fail, Gabrieli struck me as a nice, personable guy, an OK speaker (at least in front of a very small and mostly-supportive crowd largely made up of insiders) and he seems to actually want to talk about some issues, albeit his were not fleshed out much (likely because he's so new to the race, at least I hope).
Monday, April 10, 2006 6:33:13 PM (Eastern Standard Time, UTC-05:00)
I basically agree with Lynne's third paragraph.

I have another theory about why he's running: he *always* wanted to run -- in our interview he said he was thinking about it last year -- but didn't think he could beat Reilly until February, when Reilly stumbled. CG thinks he can make it a race now, and from what the polls are saying, he may be right.
Monday, April 10, 2006 7:33:48 PM (Eastern Standard Time, UTC-05:00)
While I don't live in Massachusetts anymore, I have been following the race there with great interest [and especially since New Hampshire essentially has no real race at this point].

Knowing Gabrieli pretty well, he didn't go into this race without thinking about it long and hard first. Reilly should've figured out a way to get the guy on the ticket. I don't know what happened between the two, but something blooped. Gabrieli is a technocrat; and a nice one at that. He has great and grand ideas on public policy and has used his wealth to tinker with ideas. And, despite previous comments by myself about his motives, I really think the guy wants to best for the state. I also find it interesting that Gabrieli seems to be morphing himself into a Democrat version of Mihos - while still remaining an insider - a tricky balancing act.

As far as Patrick goes, I just don't see it. I never have. There hasn't been anything the guy has said that has made me go, Wow, that guy should be governor. I have read a ton of articles on the guy, I have seen him on TV, and I have friends working on his campaign and friends who love the guy. But the only thing I can see is that he is the great black hope. I don't see anything else that would make me vote for the guy.
Monday, April 10, 2006 8:50:00 PM (Eastern Standard Time, UTC-05:00)
Lynne -- yes, quasi-religious. Like the Howard Dean stalwarts who won;t remove his bumper stickers two years later...
Kurt
Comments are closed.
INFO

RSS 2.0
Atom 1.0
Send mail to the author(s)
Adam Reilly's news and notes from Massachusetts' always interesting political scene.

LINKS

RECENT
ADVERTISEMENT

ARCHIVE



CATEGORIES

EXCLUSIVE

TOOLS
Add to My Yahoo!

Subscribe with Bloglines

Subscribe in NewsGator Online

Hype Machine

MP3 Blogs

del.icio.us/OnTheDownload

Add to Google








TODAY'S FEATURED ADVERTISERS
   
Copyright © 2006 The Phoenix Media/Communications Group