Tuesday, March 21, 2006

That's what jumps out at you?!

The sitting attorney general is well under 40% in both the primary and general election and you think that is some indication of things not sticking to him? Remember, it wasn't too long ago that he was breaking 50% against Romney or Healey and 60% against Deval Patrick.

Here's something that jumps out at me: 52% of those polled either agreed or strongly agreed that they'd "like to see an Independent candidate elected Governor for a change." I'm no fan of Christy Mihos, but it seems to me that there is a window for his candidacy. Also, 64% of the respondents said that they disagree with this: "if a Democrat is elected Governor, there would be no check and balance with a Democratic-controlled House & Senate and that spending would be out of control." That is a pretty narrow opening for the Dems, but it certainly doesn't jive with the conventional wisdom that voters demand that their governor be of a different party than that of the legislature.

Well, Adam, although I am with you most of the time, I actually disagree that it helps Patrick for Gabrieli to get in quickly. It infuses more money into the primary (through Gabrieli) and will force Reilly (who has a warchest) and Patrick to play ball in the money/media wars. Maybe Patrick has the personal wealth to keep up through an expensive primary AND general, but we just don't know and for now he's not telling....

What I find interesting is this: If Gabrieli is the nominee, Mihos wins: 26, Healey 21, and Gabrieli 16. This is kinda of a surprise because Gabrieli will probably go after that technocrat indie voter.

Another interesting thing: In a Healey, Deval, Mihos race, it is essentially a toss up: 25, 21, 20.

And the same with Reilly, Healey, and Mihos: 26, 25, 19.

I honestly can't believe that there are so many undecideds.

Polls taken no have about a zero factor on next November.