
Thursday, August 31, 2006
This is remarkable stuff. Settle in and pay close attention--you'll be glad you did. (Hat tip to Blue Mass. Group.)
So says the Globe's Russell Nichols, who begins his article on the Tom Reilly-Deval Patrick tax battle thusly:
The sleepy governor's race stirred to life yesterday, with Attorney
General Thomas F. Reilly charging that voters "cannot trust"
Democratic rival Deval L. Patrick on taxes, and Patrick firing back
that Reilly has switched positions on the issue. [emphasis added]
What in Sam Hill is going on here?!? Call me naive, but I'd say the gov's race has been pretty dramatic, at least on the Democratic side. Tom Reilly looked to have the nomination locked up, then botched things horribly earlier this year. Deval Patrick went from obscure insurgent to frontrunner. Chris Gabrieli got revenge on Reilly (who'd wooed and then spurned him as a running mate) by jumping in the race late, spending zillions of dollars, and taking over Patrick's frontrunner spot, at least according to one poll. And now Reilly--who somehow managed to stay viable--is making a final aggressive push for the nomination that was supposed to be his all along. Russell, my man: what more do you want?
Tuesday, August 29, 2006
Boston Magazine's prose poet--sorry, John, I couldn't resist--takes issue with my characterization (and with David's over at Blue Mass. Group) of his opus on the Dems. Here's what he has to say: Adam and David,
I read both of your posts on my story. I hope you'll post my response as well. To wit:
First, thanks for the plug. Nice of you. Truly. I would, though, like to clarify a few things.
The two specific sections of my story you posted, looked at side by side, do seem contradictory: 1) that the Dems are no good at political theater, and 2) that Deval Patrick "appreciates the value of style as well as substance." Importantly, though, in the actual article there are 3,247 words separating these two observations, during which I noted that Patrick took part in some laughably tame debates, and that his staff made awkward comments regarding trying to run his campaign like a Dean/Kerry hybrid. I also made it clear that whatever strengths the candidates have are too often undercut by the blunders of the party apparatus here: "Fact is, you could have JFK and FDR rolled into one-if the party machinery is missing a few springs, then the best of candidates will end up looking bad."
I don't think it contradicts the thesis to that state that, should he win, Patrick will still owe his victory, in part, to the fact that he was better at the packaging than most of his Democratic peers. Some things, after all, are relative. Patrick was, at times, guilty by association (as opposed to Gabrieli and Reilly, who frequently jammed their feet into their mouths), but he emerged from the slapstick somewhat unscathed.
The idea that I'm endorsing Patrick in the article is also incorrect. Patrick seemed, to me, to be better at this particular brand of politics than the rest. I don't think there's anything wrongheaded or obsequious with pointing out the fact that he who bumbles least has an advantage.
Is today's Herald story linking Deval Patrick to Benjamin LaGuer the product of some oppo research by Tom Reilly? This post over at Blue Mass. Group sure suggests that's the case. (Also worth a read: David's assessment over at BMG.) Of course, it's standard practice for reporters to take information from campaigns and run with it. The key is treating that info with some credulity and asking questions the source wouldn't necessarily want you to ask. Not sure the Herald's Dave Wedge pulled this off.
Boston Magazine's John Gonzalez is a terrific writer, and his latest piece--on the three Democrats who want to be governor--is, predictably, a great read. (In case you missed it, so was his takedown of the Herald's Inside Track girls.) That said, John doesn't quite sell me on his main premise, i.e., that all the Democrats are shitty candidates. First read this: The Dems may have the edge on policy around here, but when it comes to image, they’ve been dismal. Judging by the candidates’ performances so far, this year’s election
looks like a rerun. Like their predecessors, the latest batch of
Democratic gubernatorial hopefuls—Attorney General Tom Reilly, former
Clinton staffer Deval Patrick, and zany millionaire Chris Gabrieli—have
often approached the level of slapstick.
And now read Gonzalez's closing assessment of Deval Patrick: If Patrick does win the primary, it will be due in part to the fact
that, more than all the Democratic candidates over the past 16 years,
he...appreciates the value of style as well as
substance. He appreciates packaging, even though he claims to hate
packaging (which, yes, is a part of his packaging).
In July, as Patrick worked the room at an Elks lodge in Everett, an
older woman came over to say hello. Her name was Patricia, and she had
a big tuft of silver hair and friendly eyes. She was thrilled to be so
close to the candidate and told him so, told him that he had her vote,
told him that she had heard him speak and had fallen in love with what
he had to say.
"Tell me,” Patrick said, touching her arm, "what was it you liked so much?"
The woman thought for a second, then, with a mostly toothless smile,
said: “You know, I don’t really remember. I just liked the way you said
it." Let me state the obvious: This totally undercuts the central premise of the piece! As a result, the story ends up reading like Gonazlez's personal endorsement of Patrick. All that said, make sure to read it, because otherwise you'll miss stellar nuggets like this: A short time in Gabrieli’s presence revealed that he had little to
say—or, rather, quite a lot to say with little effect. Here’s a blurb
from his website under the Meet Chris section: “It’s hard to sum up
Chris Gabrieli with one word, but if you had to, you’d probably go with
results.” Actually, I’d probably go with redundant.
During our conversation, he used the word “results” about 20 times,
mainly in several flurries in which he spoke at least seven times about
“getting results,” four times about goals being “different than
results,” and, my favorite, five times in which he used the word
results in relation to his own results—as in, “These results are real
results.” All of which resulted in me hating results.
Let me state the obvious again: that's fantastic stuff.
Friday, August 25, 2006
The Mass. GOP announced yesterday that (Vice) President Cheney is coming to town on Friday, September 8, for a fete honoring local Republican bigwig Dick Egan. Sadly, the event--which starts at 5 p.m., at the Harvard Club on Comm. Ave.--is closed to the press. But it'll be very interesting to see if Kerry Healey shows up, and how she comports herself if she does. Whichever Democrat runs against Healey this fall would love to link her to the misadventures of Bush & Co. That'll be way easier to do if they've got snapshots of Cheney and Healey smiling happily together, or quotes of Healey saying nice things about the veep. But if you're Healey, how do you tactfully blow off the first- or second-most-powerful Republican in the country? Here's my prediction: Kerry and Sean go on vacation that weekend, but Kerry videotapes some nice comments about Egan beforehand.
Thursday, August 24, 2006
If Mary Maxwell was just after her Warholian 15 minutes, I guess she got it. But I'm not loving her chances this fall.
That's pretty much the gist of this new Samiyah Diaz TV spot. Or, more accurately, that's the gist of the part that's currently viewable online. (According to a Diaz camp press release, Samiyah herself appears near the end, but the web clip currently craps out midway through.) My prediction: if anyone out there believes crime is good, they'll think twice once this hits the airwaves.
Wednesday, August 23, 2006
Official word just went out from Christy's campaign, via a succinct press release you'll find reprinted below. Which raises the question: is Mihos going to have a serious impact on this race, or is he destined (as the Herald's Ginny Buckingham recently posited) to be an ineffectual vanity candidate? As much as I like Mihos personally--and as much as my personal reaction to candidates tends to inform my sense of their political potential--I'm leaning toward Ginny's analysis. But maybe I'm jumping the gun here. Anyone out there think Mihos is a force to be reckoned with? If I'm missing something, please let me know... Now, here's what Mihos had to say earlier: MIHOS AND SULLIVAN SUBMIT MORE THAN 26,000 SIGNATURES Independent candidates will appear on the ballot this November
BOSTON – Independent gubernatorial candidate Christy Mihos and running mate John J. Sullivan turned in more than 26,000 signatures to the Secretary of the Commonwealth on Wednesday afternoon, securing their place on the general election ballot in November.
“The people of Massachusetts have spoken, and their message is loud and clear,” Mihos said after turning in petitions on Wednesday afternoon. “They want to have an independent voice in the corner office in November, and I’m encouraged by this incredible showing of support.”
Of the 26,000 signatures Mihos and Sullivan received, the Secretary of the Commonwealth’s office certified 18,193 of them on Wednesday afternoon. Mihos and Sullivan only needed 10,000 certified signatures to have their names placed on the ballot in November and they collected nearly double that number.
“I’m honored to be on the ballot this November with John Sullivan, and I know the two of us can make this Commonwealth a better place for all residents,” Mihos said. “I’m excited at this opportunity to represent Massachusetts, and I’m looking forward to meeting more residents, visiting more towns and discussing more issues this fall.”
Tuesday, August 22, 2006
Nice scoop here for U.S. News's Paul Bedard--but be sure to read Melissa McEwan's take on AlterNet, which gets into the deeper psychology of the issue (seriously). Anyway, here's the story. Note the odd reference to Bush's paranoia around women: He loves to cuss, gets a jolly when a mountain biker wipes out trying to keep up with him, and now we're learning that the first frat boy loves flatulence jokes. A top insider let that slip when explaining why President Bush is paranoid around women, always worried about his behavior. But he's still a funny, earthy guy who, for example, can't get enough of fart jokes. He's also known to cut a few for laughs, especially when greeting new young aides....
That's the Leader of the Free World, people.
Monday, August 21, 2006
Since the Phoenix's web site seems to be shipshape again, after what can only be described as a rough patch last week, I'm taking this opportunity to belatedly flog my recent opus on Killer Coke-gate. Some parts of the story are a bit dated--most notably, both the Herald's Kim Atkins and the Globe's Frank Phillips have since reported on the mini-scandal--but I believe my take on what the whole episode says about the Tom Reilly campaign holds up. (Plus, you'll get to see a pic of Ray Rogers, Mr. Killer Coke himself!) Also, here's an anecdote that may be of interest. When I watched Rogers outside Deval Patrick's event in Southie a couple weeks back, at least half of Rogers' limited manpower was provided by a few guys who looked to be union members. I tried talking with these dudes (who were actually holding up two anti-Patrick banners), and they were way, way standoffish; also, when I snapped a few photos of the event, they made sure to hold the anti-Patrick banners up over their faces. I'm assuming they came from a union that's supporting Tom Reilly. But who knows? Maybe they were contractors working on Chris Gabrieli's place.
Monday, August 14, 2006
[Guest blogging: David S. Bernstein] Last October, I came across state Senator Dianne Wilkerson sitting on a bench on the eighth floor of the Suffolk Superior Courthouse. I asked what she was doing there, and as it happened she was waiting to deliver the testimony that just landed her on the front page of this Sunday’s Boston Herald, ten months later. I mention this neither to absolve nor impugn her -- I did not know then and do not know now whether her story is true -- but to point out that the story is out now not because anyone was keeping it a secret, but because of the Boston Police Department’s utter loathing for Wilkerson. Most of what you see about Wilkerson in the papers is leaked from within the BPD. The Boston Police Patrolmen’s Association and the Boston Police Detectives Benevolent Society have long despised Wilkerson, in large part because she has periodically advocated on behalf of those claiming to have been wronged by police. This past January, when Wilkerson penned an 850-word op-ed in the Globe titled “How to Reform the Boston Police,” the BPD’s PR department responded with a 1700 word “clarification” on its blog, and bullied the Globe into fact-checking the op-ed. The only errors the paper found were that Wilkerson gave the wrong number of police districts, and that she claimed none of those districts were led by African-Americans, forgetting that the department had just demoted James Claiborne to be captain of district E13. I have no idea what the truth is behind the investigation of Wilkerson’s nephew, Jermaine Berry, and his conviction for voluntary manslaughter. But I can pretty much guarantee you that, contrary to the impression given by the Herald, it had not led and will not lead to an investigation into perjury charges against Wilkerson. That’s because if Wilkerson lied under oath, then so did Reverend Ernest “Gunny” Branch, of Sermon on the Mount Baptist Church in Roxbury. They both claim to have been in the room when Wilkerson’s other nephew was questioned 12 years ago -- directly contradicting the BPD detectives who did the questioning -- and Branch also swore to that under oath. Branch is a highly respected minister and veterans’ activist, who gave an invocation at the Democratic National Convention in 2004. At the courthouse last October, Wilkerson suggested that I contact Branch if I planned to write about her involvement in her nephew’s case. She wasn’t pushing me to write about it, nor was she trying to sneak in and out of court or avoid a reporter’s questions. She told me the whole story, pretty much exactly as you read it Sunday. She was well aware that the testimony she had given and was about to repeat was directly contradicted by detectives. The judge’s decision, siding with the cops’ version, was published two months later. Seven months went by without a squeak, and suddenly now, a few weeks before Wilkerson faces a primary challenge, the detectives’ union decided to call Wilkerson a perjurer through the Herald. Branch happened to be out of town. I am told that you’ll be hearing from him soon.
Friday, August 11, 2006
Every now and then, Herald columnist Howie Carr hits one out of the park. Such is the case today, when he nails Mitt Romney for his panting opportunism and disinterest in helping LG Kerry Healey succeed him in the corner office. Whatever you think of Carr, this is some good stuff.
Wednesday, August 09, 2006
Relatively hot off the presses--filed today at 11 a.m.: August 9, 2006
Office of Campaign and Political Finance Michael J. Sullivan, Director One Ashburton Place, Room 411 Boston, MA 02108
DELIVERED BY HAND
Dear Mr. Sullivan:
We, the undersigned Massachusetts labor officials, write to call your attention to clear and egregious violations of Massachusetts campaign finance laws by The Campaign to Stop Killer Coke (“Killer Coke”), its corporate parent, a New York state for-profit corporation called Corporate Campaign, Inc. (“CCI”), and Ray Rogers, a New York City public relations consultant who controls CCI and styles himself the “director” of “Killer Coke.” Please consider this a formal complaint and request for investigation.
On the web site www.killercoke.org, in an August 7, 2006 interview with the Boston Globe, and elsewhere, Mr. Rogers has said that he and “Killer Coke” advocate the defeat of gubernatorial candidate Deval L. Patrick, and are communicating with voters and soliciting and expending funds for this purpose, including to create and distribute literature and Internet content attacking Mr. Patrick. Although calling itself a “campaign” and using a dot org domain name, “Killer Coke” is not in fact a registered political committee, not a PAC, not a 527, and not a credentialed not-for-profit of any kind. Rather, it is simply an arm of Mr. Rogers’s personal business.
Recently your office issued Interpretive Bulletin 06-01, which explains how and when third party political activity becomes subject to Massachusetts campaign finance laws. You explain that one trigger is when a person or group engages in Express Advocacy: communications to “vote against,” “defeat,” or “reject” a candidate, or synonyms (or their positive equivalents). As can be seen from the attached materials, Mr. Rogers’s and “Killer Coke’s” attacks on Mr. Patrick are replete with just such Express Advocacy. The flyer, for examples, asks readers to consider various negative allegations about Patrick “before voting on Sept. 19” and bears the tag line “A Vote for Deval Devalues Your Priorities.” Likewise, a July 17, 2006 newsletter petitions aid to “help us expose Deval Patrick's and Coke's deplorable record to Massachusetts' voters.”
“Killer Coke” is subject to Massachusetts campaign finance laws and regulations but has failed to register, file, or disclose with OCPF. Mr. Rogers and “Killer Coke” stand in violation of multiple provisions, including:
1. Rogers and “Killer Coke” have expended funds to attack candidate Patrick, and plan to continue to do so, but have failed to report these expenditures and their purposes and amounts, as required by law.
2. Rogers and Killer Coke have solicited donations from the public to attack candidate Patrick but failed to create and register as a political committee to receive, expend, and report these funds, as required by law.
3. Because “Killer Coke” is in reality simply part of a for-profit corporation (CCI), all funds funneled through its account and spent to harm candidate Patrick are corporate expenditures, which are forbidden by law.
In addition to the above clear-cut violations, we further believe that the activity of Mr. Rogers and “Killer Coke” raises troubling questions that bear close scrutiny by your office:
• Is Mr. Rogers coordinating his activity, or that of “Killer Coke,” with any political committee, or candidate?
• Who are the “donors” to “Killer Coke?” Has any person or entity connected to a Massachusetts candidate or political committee given to Killer Coke, or caused others to do so?
• On his web site, Mr. Rogers solicits for what he labels “donations” (notwithstanding that Killer Coke is part of a for-profit company). Where do these so-called donations go? Who controls the bank account into which they are deposited and for what purposes are the funds spent?
In light of the importance and proximity of the gubernatorial election that Mr. Rogers and “Killer Coke” improperly seek to influence, we respectfully request your earliest possible attention to these matters and speedy action against such violations as you determine have occurred.
You may direct your response to the undersigned Michael Grunko at 400 Talcott Ave, Building 131, Watertown, MA 02472, telephone 617 924 8509.
Sincerely,
Tim Cayton, President Richard Stutman, President Intntl Brotherhood of Electrical Boston Teachers Union Local 223
Michael Grunko, President Gary Sullivan, President Service Employees Intntl Union Utility Workers Union of America Local 509 Local 369
George Noel, President Intntl Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Local 1505
Yesterday in Slate, John Dickerson had an fascinating piece on the use of web videos by the (now-triumphant) Ned Lamont campaign. So here's my my question: does Phil Dunkelbarger know that YouTube exists? And if so, why isn' he using it? After all, Dunkelbarger dreams of playing Lamont to Steve Lynch's Lieberman in next month's Democratic primary. But he's also vowed to cap his spending at $50,000. Given D.'s goal and fiscal constraints, you'd think he'd be taking full advantage of viral video--but when I search YouTube for "Dunkelbarger," I get squat.
Tuesday, August 08, 2006

Strange stuff, this.
Quoth Lindsay: "I've been trying to go to Iraq with Hillary Clinton for so long. Hillary was trying to work it out, but it seemed too dangerous."
Also, Lohan says that if such a trip were arranged, she would take shooting lessons with her security guard to prepare.
FYI, this doesn't quite jibe with the account offered by a Clinton spokesman.
Fervent kudos to David Kravitz of Blue Mass. Group for this detailed look at Deval Patrick nemesis Killer Coke--which, based on David's findings, seems to be one guy rather than an actual group.
Seriously, this is a genuine must-read. So get crackin'!
Monday, August 07, 2006
Got the following press release from Sonia Chang-Díaz's campaign yesterday. Long story short: when Chang-Díaz partisans talk up their candidate and hammer Dianne Wilkerson, voters think Chang-Díaz sounds good and Wilkerson sounds bad. The first number is eye-catching: only 35 percent of respondents think Wilkerson deserves to be re-elected. But a question I'd like to see--"If the election were held today, which Democratic candidate would you vote for," etc.--is nowhere to be found.
Poll Results Show Voters Want a Change
Second Suffolk District Open to Chang-Díaz's Candidacy
ROXBURY – The Chang-Díaz for State Senate Campaign released internal polling results today demonstrating strong support for Chang-Díaz's message of change and high levels of voter dissatisfaction with incumbent Dianne Wilkerson. This internal poll of likely voters for the September 19 th Democratic Primary indicates that the district is looking for change and that Chang-Díaz has a strong opportunity to unseat Wilkerson in next month's election.
Polling Results:
The district is ready for change: only 35% of respondents said that Dianne Wilkerson deserves re-election.
This is an unusually low number for an incumbent State Senator, especially among Democratic primary voters. With only a little more than a third of the electorate believing that Wilkerson deserves to be returned to the Senate, this is a clear mark of the incumbent's vulnerability.
Once voters hear about Dianne Wilkerson's documented legal and ethical transgressions, they are even less likely to vote for her.
Over half of respondents said they would be less likely to vote for Dianne Wilkerson once they learn about her legal and ethical transgressions. Further more, 48.7% said they would be more likely to vote for Chang-Díaz once they learn that she is running against Wilkerson because of these legal and ethical problems.
Voters are drawn to Sonia Chang-Díaz's background and message.
The poll tested voter response to Chang-Díaz's bio, her background, her agenda, and her reasons for running. Each of these pieces of information drew strong positive support and virtually no negative response.
Voters appreciate Dianne Wilkerson's positions on the issues...but don't believe that is enough to re-elect her .
The poll tested Wilkerson's bio, her record, and a positive message on her behalf. The poll finds that although respondents appreciate her stance on the issues and her legislative record, only a minority of the electorate feels this makes her deserving of re-election.
Once voters learn about Sonia Chang-Díaz, her background, and why she is running, they support her – and her support increases to within the margin of error.
Dianne Wilkerson's name recognition is strong in the district, as would be expected.
Over the course of the poll, however, as respondents learn more about Chang-Díaz's background, her experience, her agenda, and why she is running, they open up to her in substantial numbers. Towards the end of the poll, respondents are asked, given what they now know about each candidate, who they plan to support in the September 19 th election – and on this question, Chang-Díaz closes to within the margin of error.
These polling results are a clear indication that the Second Suffolk Senate District is ready for change. Voters are frustrated with Dianne Wilkerson's continual legal and ethical transgressions, and they are excited by Sonia Chang-Díaz's message of leadership we can all be proud of. Second Suffolk voters are ready and willing to choose Sonia Chang-Díaz to be their next State Senator.
Methodology:
Sample size: 297.
Margin of error: +/- 5.6% (95% confidence level).
Poll was of voters who identified themselves as likely to vote in the September 19th Democratic primary.
Poll Dates July 10th – 13th
Pollster: Dan Cohen, Connection Strategies
That's what I was expecting this morning, when Bob Oakes mentioned today's Globe story on Deval Patrick's years at Coke and Texaco. But what did I get when I picked up the paper? Nothing much, really, other than the news (relayed by Frank Phillips, natch) that the Campaign to Stop Killer Coke is rolling out a concerted anti-Patrick campaign. Will anyone care? Some of Patrick's hard-left supporters might balk at his willingess to make lots and lots of money at two companies that have engaged in some shady practices over the years. So might some undecided Democrats. But unless the revelations get more Patrick-centric--and a whole lot nastier--I don't see this being the issue that keeps Patrick from winning September's primary.
Wednesday, August 02, 2006
Tuesday, August 01, 2006
In case anyone was wondering, here's what the voluble state senator from Cambridge thinks about Fidel Castro's seriously irritable bowels and their consequences: “Although he is almost eighty years old, Castro still holds tight control over Cuba and the Cuban people—never once relinquishing power in his 47 years as president. Today’s news reminds us of Castro’s mortality, and makes us realize that the end of his rule may be imminent.”
His departure may finally mean free and fair elections in Cuba. The future of democracy on this Caribbean island depends as much on our president as their president. There will be pressure from Cuban-American political forces in Miami for a U.S. military intervention. Democratic change in Cuba should be led from democratic movements within that country, not imposed by special interests in Florida.”
Hey, it's a better issue than Fluffernutters.
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