Friday, June 29, 2007
Seth Gitell demonstrates that he's more insightful while channel-surfing than most of us are at full concentration, asking how Rudy Giuliani's appearance in a History Channel documentary doesn't trigger the Fairness Doctrine of equal time for candidates.
It's a great question. And I'm sure cable-land is full of documentaries in which John McCain, Hillary Clinton, Bill Richardson, Tommy Thompson, and others appear as talking heads. Maybe the mafia doc Gitell was watching wasn't worth a challenge, but something surely will be.
Update: I have just learned from the FEC that yesterday Romney requested and was granted another 45-day extension to file his personal finance disclosure, giving him until August 13th (two days after the Iowa Straw poll!). He is only allowed two extensions, so this time should be for real.
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The Federal Election Commission granted Mitt Romney a 45-day extension to file his personal finances disclosure, and that gives him until the close of business today to file, according to the extension letter sent by the FEC to his campaign.
The disclosure will only provide a wide-ranging estimate of his total wealth, because of the way the form asks for assets to be listed. Romney's people had earlier floated an estimate of $190 million to $250 million, plus another $70m-$100m in his kids' trust funds. That would be much lower than some guesses, but what's a couple hundred million more or less?
Aside from confirming that he's filthy rich -- hardly a surprise -- the disclosure will be the first peek outsiders have into where his assets are, and to me that's always been a very interesting question.
Of course, the Presidential candidates' second-quarter fundraising and expenditure reports will start coming out soon as well. Romney will probably release a money-raised figure over the weekend (and will emphasize the number of donors), but we'll have to wait a couple of weeks for the details -- which will show us how he's spent $30m-plus already.
Thursday, June 28, 2007
A new ARG New Hampshire poll shows Jeanne Shaheen (who has said she'll decide in September whether to run) trouncing John Sununu in a theoretical rematch for US Senator, 57% to 29%. Given how well-known they both are, opinions are unlikely to change as dramatically as Sununu would need, if those numbers are even close to accurate. Assuming Shaheen runs (and given numbers like that, why wouldn't she?), the GOP might have to just chalk that seat up as a loss.
And if that's the case, they might have to concede the state as a loss in the Presidential race on the same ballot next year. But that may be a foregone conclusion anyway, as the same poll as George W.'s approval rating in the Granite State at an all-time low of -- this is not a typo -- 14 percent.
A Supreme Court decision just handed down severely limits the use of race as a factor in how children get assigned to schools. The exact line on what's allowed and what's not will probably need to be challenged on a case-by-case basis, and you can be sure that the Boston-area METCO program will get one of those challenges.
This is likely to be a very heated and uncomfortable battle, and a tough political landmine for many of our area politicians. Watch and listen closely for their early reactions.
Wednesday, June 27, 2007
From Episode 1 on Sunday: On the paddle tennis court in front of the cottage, [Mitt's father] George would compete with his children in matches played to the death.
I agree with Dan Kennedy that the Globe let Romney off easy by blindly accepting the story of Mom's abortion position, but I'll go further. It
seems to me that a major question about Presidential candidate Mitt
Romney is what he actually believes, when he believes it, and why. And
more specifically, whether he makes up stories out of whole cloth to
explain or re-write his beliefs and actions after the fact. Did
he make up the story of his mother's abortion stance forged from a
son-in-law's sister's death, to convince Massachusetts residents in
1994 that he was reliably pro-choice? I don't know. Did he
fabricate the story of having an epiphany in 2005 about the value of
life when a doctor showed him frozen embryos, to convince Republican
voters in 2007 that he is reliably pro-life? I don't know. Did
he fabricate the tale of pulling over in his car and weeping for joy
when he heard the news that the Mormon Church had lifted its ban on
black priests, to convince Americans that he never agreed with the
church's most objectionable tenets? I don't know. Mitt Romney
has this habit of telling these kinds of stories to explain himself,
his positions, his actions, his motivations, his business
accomplishments, his religious practices, his Olympics work, and etc.
Many of the stories (like crying in the car) only crop up long after
the fact, with no explanation of why neither he nor anyone else ever
mentioned them before. There's a name for people who cynically make up stories about themselves for strategic gain: Johnny Fairplay. I
don't know whether Mitt Romney is a Johnny Fairplay or not. But if he
is, then his life story -- which the Globe is trying to write the
definitive version of -- is a very different one than if he isn't a
Johnny Fairplay and these stories are all true. So far, through
four parts of the saga, it certainly seems as though the Globe is not
even considering the possibility that Romney (perhaps with help from
those around him) is whitewashing his life story. That maybe his car
crash in France wasn't a big deal to him, until years later he decided
it made for a good story about what drives him. That maybe Romney's
"one penetrating question" had nothing to do with how Bain grew fat on
its Gartner Group acquisition. That maybe the idea to run against Ted
Kennedy came from conversations with political consultants, not from a
bedtime suggestion from Ann prompted by her recently deceased father's
advice. Etc. In fact, the most telling tale in the Globe series
so far might be this one from yesterday's installment, in which Romney
made Bill Bain
promise to lie to protect Romney's reputation -- ie, rewrite Romney's
past -- if Bain Capital
flopped: So Bain sweetened the offer. He guaranteed that if the experiment failed, Romney
would get his old job and salary back, plus any raises handed out during his
absence.
Romney had one more concern: the impact on his reputation should he prove unable
to do the job. In the end, Bain agreed to craft a cover story if necessary,
promising to bring Romney back to the consulting firm and explain Romney's
return as a matter of his being more valuable to Bain as a consultant.
''So,'' Bain says, ''there was no professional or financial risk.''
Presumably,
had Bain Capital failed, Bill Bain would have dutifully fabricated a revised history of those years, and that would be the one the Globe wrote this week. How many
other such promises has Romney demanded over the years? How many are
still being kept? How do we know?
Tuesday, June 26, 2007
Perhaps you noticed in the Boston Globe's coverage of the Liquarry Jefferson shooting that city councilor Michael Flaherty referred to "two Bostons." As in John Edwards's two Americas, divided by socioeconomics. The same phrase appears in a press release sent out by Flaherty today about the need to pass his gun-control bill. That sure sounds like a campaign theme to me. But is it for his current campaign for re-election to his at-large seat? Or for longer-term use in his widely rumored 2009 stab at becoming Mayor? Flaherty aide Andrew Kinneally won't say, naturally, but he confirms to me that "two Bostons" is a new theme that Flaherty plans to use in a variety of contexts to highlight the growing socioeconomic divide in the city. he says the first use came in a recent speech on financial literacy. It's worth noting that Flaherty's former director of constituent services is running against Chuck Turner for the district 2 council seat in Roxbury, where presumably a "two Bostons" theme would resonate.
Attorney General Martha Coakley just sent a press release extending by two weeks her earlier promise to decide by late June on criminal charges relating to the death of Milena DelValle in the Big Dig tunnel collapse. "We anticipate that we will reach a final determination regarding criminal
charges" by the new self-imposed deadline, the release says. I'm going to go out on a limb here and guess that this indicates that they're finalizing what, not whether. That is, which specific sets of charges against which specific companies and individuals. We eagerly await...
Maureen Feeney and Sal LaMattina endorsed Hillary Clinton today. Michael Flaherty previously endorsed Barack Obama. Steve Murphy has endorsed John Edwards. Murph has a better track record with endorsements (see: Patrick, Deval), so keep your eye on Johnny Edwards!
Part three of the Globe's Romney saga was fine, doing a pretty good job of explaining what his management/investment career was all about. I would have prefered if they had spent more time digging for details on that, and less on his missionary work, but that's OK. Of more interest is the news from Scott Helman, which he broke yesterday on the web, that Romney has given more of his personal money to his campaign. It's no surprise that Romney would spend his own money -- that's been expected. What's stunning is how soon he's been forced to do it. This is a major sign of problems in the campaign. The initial $2.5 million or so that Romney chipped in was start-up money, to pay the bills and hire staff before the fundraising kicked into gear. Since then, the campaign raised roughly $21 million in the first three months of the year, and is rumored to be on track with roughly the same for Q2, which ends this week. Romney's people have been reported saying that they will beat George W.'s 1999 record $37m mark of total raised through June 30. I've written before about how fast Romney is blowing through that money, but nevertheless I'm amazed that he's already out this far in advance of the actual campaign season. I wrote in the May 23 issue of the Phoenix that "by the time you read this, he may have spent the entire initial $20 million" from Q1. Apparently I was right and then some. I also wrote at that time that the pace of spending wasn't a problem -- since Romney clearly intended to ultimately pay out of pocket anyway. But I wish to revise and extend my remarks in light of this new information. Blowing through his whole stash already means two things: 1) a serious attempt to win the nomination is going to cost him a lot more than I think he was expecting; and 2) it's taking much more of a sales job to get his numbers up than he was expecting. This is a serious problem, if Romney has to cut back on spending for a while, especially with Fred Thompson entering the race. Plus, as I've written before, the several million dollars Mitt's planning to spend to win the Iowa Straw Poll in Ames on August 11 will not get him the return he hoped for, now that both John McCain and Rudy Giuliani have opted out. I've continued to believe that John McCain would ultimately win the GOP nomination, and this development is very good news for that camp. The continued exposure of Giuiliani's ugly side is taking its toll. And I may be imagining it, but I have this feeling that Fred Thompson's appeal is already cresting and heading down. By staying out of the way, McCain may be on his way to reclaiming his status as frontrunner....
Monday, June 25, 2007
The Supreme Court has ruled against the Alaskan high school kid who held up a "Bong Hits 4 Jesus" banner during a field trip as a prank. In a 5-4 decision -- the usual conservatives in the majority -- the court said the school principal was OK ripping down the sign because it could be read as advocating drug use. Me, I think it was more advocating religion, but what do I know.
So far, I'm pretty underwhelmed by the Boston Globe's epic mini-series on Mitt Romney, which so far has not only lost the forest for the trees, but for a lengthy stretch seemed to wander into somebody else's forest. The bulk of today's episode -- "The Missionary" -- laid out the interesting but irrelevant historical tale of Mormonism and Romney's ancestors. Why? Meanwhile, I'm still baffled about why the Globe led the series off yesterday with the story of Romney's near-death car-crash in France, which is neither new nor illustrative. At the end of the first installment, the writers tease up "the degree to which he would never be the same" after the incident, but today we are told that "within a few weeks, Mitt was seemingly back to normal." The writers try to suggest that "the first glimpses of the super-organized achiever" of later years first emerged after the crash, but his pre- and post-crash missionary work looks pretty much identically aggressive and zealous. If anything, it's remarkable how little the crash (which killed his boss's wife, with Mitt driving) seems to have affected him, either emotionally at the time or philosophically in the long run. (Romney never mentions it in his book, Turnaround.) To me, the most important part of Romney's life, biographically, is clearly and obviously the quarter-century or so he spent as a business management consultant, angel investor, and leveraged-buyout dealmaker. That's going to be covered tomorrow, not long after the New York Times ran a broad, comprehensive, but unprobing and unenlightening look at the topic.
Thursday, June 21, 2007
The local ProgBloggers might not like it, but Frank Phillips has a perfectly valid point in today's Globe. Deval Patrick's fundraising activities absolutely should be watched and monitored closely, and it's up to the Governor to demonstrate, by his actions, that the money doesn't affect the governing.
That's the case, in my opinion, with any powerful public figure, but especially with Patrick. Why? For one thing, as Phillips points out, it certainly has the appearance of deeds not matching rhetoric. But more importantly, because of the seeming inverse relationship with some of his donors. That is to say, one expects people to donate to officeholders who are on their side of the issues -- if I'm a fan of low state income taxes, of course I would have been inclined to give to someone like Mitt Romney who was in my corner. But when people, or groups of people, give to an officeholder who is up to that point working against their interests, the public has a right to wonder whether they're trying to use that money, or the access that money brings, to get what they want.
When Patrick raises a bunch of money from NStar, it's certainly worth noting. It's also worth noting that he just raised a truckload from attorneys at Mintz Levin, which lobbies state government, and a little chunk from Arbella Insurance execs.
Sunshine is the great disinfectant, as they say. There's nothing wrong with Patrick raising money from any of these folks. But it's vital that the press and the public pay attention to it.
Wednesday, June 20, 2007
I'm stunned by the news, broken today at Time.com, that the Vatican has revoked the annullment of Joe Kennedy's first marriage. This is going to be a hot, hot topic at a lot of Massachusetts dinner tables tonight. I'm not sure how, but I suspect that this all connects to Joe's relationship with Hugo Chavez....
The Hill reports today
on a little secret I've been tracking down among Mitt Romney's
fundraising minions: Robert Lichfield, a co-chair of Romney's Utah
finance team, is at the center of a scandal involving the World Wide
Association of Specialty Programs and Schools (WWASPS). WWASPS operates
or funds a bunch of "tough love" academies that have been accused of
all manner of nastiness -- a Google search will get you to the
anti-WWASPS sites.
Lichfield is a key player and is named in the lawsuits, but The Hill
doesn't mention that he's far from the only Romney maximum-contributor
linked to the WWASPS scandal. There's J. Ralph Atkin, partner with
WWASPS' Teen Help; Richard Darrington of Darrington Academy; Brent
Facer, Lichfield's partner and WWASPS trustee; L. Karr Farnsworth of
Cross Creek Manor and former WWASPS President; Jason Finlinson of
Academy at Ivy Ridge; Dace Goulding of Orion Behavioral and Darrington
Academy; Robert's brother Narvin Lichfield of Carolina Springs Academy;
and Robert's brother-in-law Don Peart of Majestic Ranch.
Aside from the fact that Boston already has a Carol R. Johnson (a landscape architect involved with the Rose Kennedy Greenway design), there's not much to complain about with the new Boston school superintendent selection. Time will tell how she navigates the city's incredibly tricky intersections of politicians, unions, community activists, administrators, city departments, state agencies (esp. DYS and DSS), and on and on. If I was Johnson, I would hold a very, very lengthy exit interview with acting superintendent Michael G. Contompasis -- who probably knows the ins and outs of those dynamics and personalities better than anyone. Like Deval Patrick, Johnson will bring a much-needed outsider's energy and perspective, that will get nowhere without the help of seasoned insiders on her team. Contompasis can help her figure out who she can lean on in that regard.
Thursday, June 14, 2007
The Massachusetts Supreme Judicial Court ruled today, in Boothroyd et al vs. Zoning Board of Appeals et al, that a municipal zoning board of appeals may consider regional needs as a reason to override local zoning laws -- something that Amherst's ZBA did, and which a group of Amherst residents argued is impermissible under applicable state statutes. I mention this because I assume, based on what I've been hearing recently, that the citizens of Massachusetts have an important and inalienable right to now vote on whether to accept or reject this SJC ruling. That principal seemed awfully important to an awful lot of people, as recently as a few hours ago. I should hope that they won't let one small setback diminish their enthusiasm for securing that cherished right. Why, if homosexuals gave up that easily, would they have the rights they have now?
After all the stories about Brian Wallace being given a job or otherwise bribed to switch sides or not vote on the gay-marriage amendment, it's more likely that his No vote today simply means that he sees where his bread is now buttered. Southie is not what it used to be. There are an awful lot of young people there -- Irish and not -- who are for equality. And, as an astute lifelong Southie resident pointed out to me this afternoon, Jimmy Kelly is no longer there to back him up and ensure him victory (now or for future office). Then there's the ever-decreasing power of the Catholic Church, proven emphatically in today's vote. This same Southie resident points out that a generation ago, most people in Southie had a nun or priest in the family. Today, a Southie resident is far more likely to have an openly gay family member. And that's a very big difference.
Some initial thoughts: --This will be a big piece of Deval Patrick's first-term legacy, and it's worth appreciating how much he put himself out there on this issue. And I honestly believe, from all that I've heard, that he was working it through oratorical persuasion and not dealing favors. --Speaking of which, this was a remarkable display of how much things have changed on Beacon Hill, just from a leadership and process standpoint. Therese Murray and Sal DiMasi run very different operations than the old Finneran/Bulger models, which means the legislators are (to a degree at least) actual thinking, independent operators rather than pawns doing as they're told. (Note that two of DiMasi's top lieutenants, DeLeo and Petrolati, voted against Sal despite rumors that he would order them to switch.) --Big, big, big sigh of relief coming from T. Murray's office, I'm sure. She really was in no position to deliver the votes, as almost the whole senate was already on board. But she was the one who had to run the show, and to decide whether to hold the vote, postpone, or ultimately pull some chicanery to kill it procedurally -- hardly what you want as your first high-profile action as senate president. I think she handled things very well, although I would have preferred her to allow some floor debate, particularly to allow the freshmen voting No to get some valuable face time if they wanted it. --As I suggested in last week's Phoenix, the leaders didn't want to bring the vote unless they knew they had the Yes votes down to 45 or 46, so as to not put anybody in a spot of thinking they would be looked at as "the vote." Turned out to be 45. --Kudos to Sen. Michael Morrissey, and whoever convinced him to switch. Morrissey has been at odds with new Senate President Therese Murray in the past (Morrissey thinks he should have the gavel), so it must have pained him to help give her this big victory. I had expected his switch, although not as confidently as sen. Canderas (who I'm told has been seen at MassEquality events). --If I'm correct, the switched votes came from Quincy, Wilbraham, Brockton, Webster, Holliston, Wrentham, Franklin, and South Boston. Make of that what you will, but I don't see a pattern compared with the Yes votes that didn't switch. --Two freshmen Democrats who were considered real unknowns were Angelo Puppolo Jr. of Springfield and Geraldo Alicea of Charlton, both of whom voted No. --An unsung hero for the gay-marriage victory is Phil Johnson, former chair of the state Democratic Party. When Mitt Romney came hunting for legislative seats in 2004, Johnson rose to the challenge and wiped the floor with state GOP chair Darrell Crate, actually gaining seats in the end. Had things gone differently, there's no way the amendment would have lost today. (Along with Johnson, the other key to that '04 victory was gay-marriage opponent Robert Travaglini, who dispatched his people and funds everywhere they were needed.) --On the same logic, Mitt Romney's total inability to win even a few seats for his party now has to be considered a primary reason that same-sex marriage will continue in Massachusetts -- which he exacerbated by making absolutely no effort to lobby for votes this week. And if I was Sam Brownback or Mike Huckabee or Jim Gilmore I would be saying that all up and down Iowa.
-- David S. Bernstein
READ MORE:
* The Phoenix editorializes about the death of the ammendment: Jubilation! Today Massachusetts, tomorrow the world.
* Massachusetts State Senator explains why she switched to vote no against the ammendment.
No debate; they had the votes and went straight to it, and got it done. Sen. Morrissey was one of the flippers; I'll have more word on others later. And where was Mitt???
Wednesday, June 13, 2007
This morning, pharmaceutical company Warner Chilcott agreed to a $5.5 million settlement in a 33-state antitrust suit. Allegedly, Warner Chilcott paid Barr Pharmaceuticals $20 million, beginning in 2003, in return for which Barr agreed not to put to market its generic version of WC's oral contraceptive drug Ovcon (one of its biggest sellers), so that Ovcon could maintain its high price without competition. Two of Warner Chilcott's directors are Mitt Romney maximum contributors: Stephen P. Murray of CCMP Capital, and longtime Bain Capital exec John Connaughton. They both joined that board in 2004 -- when Romney's old company Bain Capital led a group that bought Warner Chilcott for $3.1 billion. They were both on the board while WC used the time it had literally bought from Barr to transition from old Ovcon to new chewable Ovcon, which it could get under patent protection. In the midst of this, they brought the company public in 2006. Lawsuits on behalf of stock purchasers are still working their way through federal court, alleging that the company misrepresented what was going on with Ovcon.
Former Governor Bill Weld was on Beacon Hill yesterday, and says he opposes the amendment banning gay marriage that's heading to a legislative vote here, according to the State House News Service. He may even make some calls to legislators to help defeat it. Welcome back, Bill, you stand-up guy. The gays sure have a good friend in you. Weld, if you don't know, was once as big a gay-rights supporter as there was. Not only did he praise the 2003 SJC decision allowing gay marriage, he personally officiated at his friend Mitchell Adams's wedding the following year. But by late 2005, Weld was running for governor of New York -- and running away from the gays. Pandering to the conservatives who he needed to get the Republican nomination, Weld ended up vowing to veto any NY legislation to legalize same-sex weddings there, and even denied that he was ever in favor of the practice in Massachusetts. He claimed that he had only offered legal interpretations. Weld ultimately dropped out of the race. Soon thereafter, he endorsed and actively raised funds for the king of gay-marriage denouncers, Mitt Romney. (Although that probably had more to do with Weld's bitterness toward Rudy Giuliani, who conspicuously failed to support Weld in the NY gubernatorial race.) Come to think of it, he and Romney make a good fit: they're both ready to flip-flop on social issues, saying one thing to us in Massachusetts and the polar opposite to conservatives elsewhere.
Tuesday, June 12, 2007
Sorry for the light blogging lately. Haven't really had too much to comment on. Here's a few quick hits: --Scott Harshbarger endorsed John Edwards. Don't know if that swings many votes, but it adds some cred. --The Patrick administration reverted to bad form in this commission report on corporate taxes, reportedly put together without the input of commission members like Michael Widmer. Sloppy, heavy-handed, messy. --Patrick also came out with a proposal on mortgage fraud, which I don't know enough about to comment on the merits. I've been on the fence about whether Deval "Ameriquest" Patrick should get out front with something on this issue, or stay out of it. Either way is rough sledding. --On the national scene, Independent voters are actually slightly more sold on evolution than Democrats, making them a world different from Republicans, who choose creationism 2-to-1. Michael Medved equates sex between loving same-sex partners with prison rape, which I've been told he's done on radio before. Over in the Senate, pretty much the only Republicans willing to have a no-confidence vote on Alberto Gonzalez are those facing tough re-election situations next year. And apparently Ron Paul, the lone anti-war voice in the GOP Presidential field, is being flooded with contributions. Fun times for the GOP! --Giuliani and McCain have both opted out of the preposterous but politically critical Iowa Straw Poll in Ames on August 11, which is a wrench in Romney's plans (as I described recently in the paper). With them out, Romney is expected to dominate, so if he does it won't impress anybody. The story out of Ames will be whoever rises from the secondary pack, perhaps Huckabee, depriving Romney of his intended big media boost heading to the fall. On the other hand, this is a very risky move by Giuliani and especially McCain; this could solidify Romney's lead in Iowa and make it very difficult for them to win that state -- and if Romney wins Iowa he'll be in an awfully good position. --Speaking of Mitt, I have a new daily game, which I can begin sharing if you'd be interested: find a Romney maximum contributor who's named, in a bad way, in the day's business news. I don't always succeed, but most days I do, whether it's JetBlue's CEO resigning from the tarmac-wait disaster, or someone under SEC investigation for something. Massive, obscene windfalls of wealth don't count, or today it would be Blackstone Group's Stephen Schwarzman, who is expected to get $449 million cash from his company's IPO and be left with $7.73 billion in stock value. My winner so far comes from the Tweeter bankruptcy, in which Globe columnist Steven Syre reminds us that Wellington Management, Tweeter's biggest shareholder, "revealed 15 minutes after the company's bankruptcy disclosure that it had dumped all its stock more than a week ago." It's not a direct hit by name, but I'll count Wellington Sr. VP -- and big Romney backer -- Jonathan Payson.
Friday, June 08, 2007
What's more amazing: that all the most powerful officials in Massachusetts are pro gay-marriage, or that all the most powerful officials in Massachusetts can't get what they want on that issue? I examine this paradox in this week's Boston Phoenix, online here.
Monday, June 04, 2007
No big surprise, but Tom Menino will make it official by endorsing Hillary Clinton for President today, according to a Clinton press release. Menino was at a big Clinton fundraiser in Boston back in March, but the early endorsement should mean a good flow of volunteer help for HRC in New Hampshire.
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