Edwards - Stark Ravings

January 30, 2008

Edwards Is Quitting Presidential Race
By webteam
John Edwards is ending his presidential race today. How it affects the Democratic race is anyone's guess -- though it's likely not to have a major impact. The truth is that Edwards didn't have a lot of support left in the Super Tuesday states, except, perhaps, in the south, and even there it was only around 15% or even less. So, while this could help Obama (which is the common assumption), that's hardly a sure thing.

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1

Democrats, Edwards

January 26, 2008

Obama Wins SC In a Blow Out -- Clinton Finishes Way Back in Second, and She's Lucky to Have That
By webteam
Barack Obama has won a huge victory tonight over Hillary Clinton -- so much so that he apparently will go over 50% and Clinton will finish far closer to Edwards than the winner.
Assuming Clinton holds second, no matter how far back she is, tonight's victory for Obama will likely not hurt her momentum much heading into Florida on Tuesday -- a primary the media should actually not report both because it's only a "beauty contest" and no Democratic candidates campaigned there (see our post from yesterday).

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4

Clinton, Democrats, Edwards

January 19, 2008

Clinton Headed to Narrow Nevada Caucus Win Over Obama -- Edwards Is So Far Back, His Campaign is Over
By webteam
With about two thirds of the precincts counted, Clinton has a narrow 50%-45% lead over Obama, with Edwards way back at 5%. The CNN entrance poll, if accurate, also indicates that Clinton is headed to a single-digit win. If the lead holds up, she gets bragging rights for now, but as we wrote earlier, the delegate haul from Nevada will be roughly even and this result is likely to have little or no effect on the key Super Tuesday primaries to come on February 5th.

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0

Clinton, Democrats, Edwards

December 31, 2007

Why Edwards Knows How to Close
By webteam
Why John Edwards knows how to close a campaign -- the Tote Board's take.

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Democrats, Edwards

December 30, 2007

Three Scenarios for a Last-Minute Iowa Democratic Surge
By webteam
With 96 hours to go, the Democratic race in Iowa is obviously very tight. What are the factors that could break it open for any of the top three?

Clinton: In the final stretch run, last-minute voters decide to go with experience and electability and women who have never been to a caucus before turn out in record numbers.
Obama: The buzz translates into a massive increase in turnout, bolstered by a record youth vote.

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2

Clinton, Democrats, Edwards

December 30, 2007

According to a New MSNBC Iowa Poll, Second Choicers Poised to Break for Edwards
By webteam

A new MSNBC Iowa poll, if accurate, contains a new development. In the Democratic race, the three top contenders are virtually even, according to the poll. But, when the second choices of Kucinich, Biden, Dodd, and Richardson voters are factored in -- and these are the candidates unlikely to reach the 15% threshhold virtually anywhere -- Edwards jumps to a ten-point lead -- 36% to 26% for the other two.

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Democrats, Edwards

December 02, 2007

The Significance of the New Des Moines Register Poll That Has Obama and Huckabee Ahead
By webteam
This morning's latest numbers from the respected Des Moines Register poll, which voters in Iowa pay attention to:

Obama: 28
Clinton: 25
Edwards: 23

Huckabee 29
Romney: 24
Giuliani: 13

The signficance:

-- Romney is in trouble in Iowa. That isn't to say he can't come back but he's going to have to wage a fairly negative campaign to do it, which could hurt him in the long run.

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1

Clinton, Democrats, Edwards

November 29, 2007

Tote Board Column -- 11/29 -- "Take It For Granite"
By webteam
This week's column looks at why Hillary Clinton remains the strong favorite to do well in January and progress to the nomination.

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Clinton, Democrats, Edwards

November 19, 2007

A Poll Sure to Shake Up the Psychology of the Race If Nothing Else: ABC/Washington Post Poll Has Obama Ahead in Iowa
By webteam

A new ABC/Washington Post poll has Obama ahead for the first time in Iowa since a Newsweek poll showed him with a similar lead in September.
The results for the top three:

Obama 30%
Clinton 26%
`` Edwards 22%

The main import of the poll -- besides giving a psychological boost to the Obama campaign -- is to deliver a blow to Edwards.

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1

Clinton, Democrats, Edwards

November 15, 2007

Preview Of Tonight's CNN Democratic Debate: It's Still Primarily About Obama vs. Edwards With an Eye on Iowa
By webteam
The Tote Board's preview of tonight's debate.

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0

Clinton, Democrats, Edwards

November 13, 2007

New New York Times Iowa Poll Is Just What Edwards Needs Going Into Thursday's Debate
By webteam
Drudge has word that the New York Times will release new surveys in Iowa and New Hampshire tomorrow showing:

IOWA

Clinton 25%
Edwards 23%
Obama 22%

NEW HAMPSHIRE

Clinton 37%
Obama 22%
Edwards 9%

Edwards was in serious danger of getting written out of the campaign by press coverage intent on turning the contest into a two-person race between Clinton and Obama.

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Clinton, Democrats, Edwards

November 09, 2007

Edwards Gains Iowa Endorsement But What's Equally Important is the Reason He Got It
By webteam
"Iowans for Sensible Priorities" -- a group that claims it can send almost 10,000 adherents to the caucuses -- has endorsed John Edwards.
A quote from the ABC dispatch:

"There's a rhetoric gap with Obama," executive director Peggy Huppert told ABC News. "He told me personally: 'Trust me. Ideologically, I'm with you.' But people have told him to be afraid of being pushed too far to the left.

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1

Democrats, Edwards, Obama

November 02, 2007

Ads Classified: The New Edwards Ad -- "Heroes"
By webteam
The latest Tote Board take on John Edwards's new ad -- "Heroes."

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0

Ads Classified, Democrats, Edwards

October 31, 2007

The Long Term Significance of Last Night's Debate -- The Emergence of Edwards and the Appearance of a Possible Character Flaw for Hillary
By webteam
Here's the Tote Board's morning after take on the debate.

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1

Clinton, Democrats, Edwards

October 31, 2007

Instant Debate Analysis: Edwards Helps Himself the Most; Obama Gains A Bit, But Hillary Struggles
By webteam

There will undoubtedly be plenty of analysis in the morning. And, as we noted before the debate, this event should be judged in tandem with the next debate in mid-November, with an eye towards seeing which Democrat emerges in Iowa and New Hampshire as Hillary's principal challenger.
Nevertheless, some quick reactions: Edwards helped himself the most in this encounter by reinforcing his image as the leading liberal populist challenger to Clinton.

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1

Democrats, Edwards

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Boston Phoenix
Edwards Is Quitting Presidential Race
Published 1/30/2008 by Importer
John Edwards is ending his presidential race today. How it affects the Democratic race is anyone's guess -- though it's likely not to have...

Boston Phoenix
Obama Wins SC In a Blow Out -- Clinton Finishes Way Back in Second, and She's Lucky to Have That
Published 1/26/2008 by Importer
Barack Obama has won a huge victory tonight over Hillary Clinton -- so much so that he apparently will go over 50% and Clinton...

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