The Phoenix Network:
 
 
About  |  Advertise
Adult  |  Moonsigns  |  Band Guide  |  Blogs  |  In Pictures
 

The Herald's premature evaluation--updated!

 

In today's Boston Herald cover story, reporter Hillary Chabot writes:

Barack Obama’s divided and poorly timed convention has given him no boost in tracking polls, leaving him in danger of trailing Republican John McCain by the time the GOP conclave ends next week....

Polls showing McCain holding down Obama in the polls despite the nationally televised convention, and no bounce from Obama’s long-awaited running mate pick - an event that pollsters say ususally draws at least a two-percentage point gain....

Obama and McCain are neck and neck in the national polls despite three days of glowing speeches about the Illinois senator during a highly publicized convention viewed by 22 million people. [emph. added]

Okay: if you're an Obama supporter, the lack of a bounce from the Biden pick is worrisome. But intentionally or not, Chabot is being a bit slippery here.

Exhibit A for her claim that Obama and McCain are neck and neck "despite three days of glowing speeches" about Obama is the latest Gallup Daily poll, which shows Obama with a 45-44 lead among registered voters. The problem with linking this claim and this poll is that the Gallup survey comprises Sunday, Monday, and Tuesday--in other words, two days of the DNC, not three. [Update: A DQM reader notes that, unless Gallup was calling people after 11 p.m. on Tuesday, those numbers only reflect one day of the convention. Even worse.] Chabot also cites the most recent Rasmussen Reports poll, which was released yesterday at 9:30 AM--i.e., also after two days of the convention.

This gets us to the bigger problem with Chabot's story. She's basically calling the convention a bust at its halfway point--and before Obama, who's previously proven himself to be a pretty good orator, has actually addressed the gathering. (Chabot acknowledges the fact that Obama hasn't yet spoken, but doesn't let it get in the way of her analysis.)

The usefulness (or lack thereof) of the DNC to Obama is a perfectly reasonable subject. But this strikes me as a botched job.

  • Share:
  • Share this entry with Facebook
  • Share this entry with Digg
  • Share this entry with Delicious
  • Email this article to a friend
  • Print this article

6 Comments

  • Joel said:

    Obviously today's "OBUMMER" front page, with Chabot's story, was just the Herald's way of shaking off the horrible feeling they had after being nice to Ted K on Tuesday. You and others noted the Herald seemed to have gone a little squishy on Ted; it's in the Herald's DNA to push back immediately in that situation.

    August 28, 2008 10:45 AM
  • Joel said:

    And PS, am I missing something? What the hell does DJ Spock have to do with that item?

    August 28, 2008 10:46 AM
  • Medfordjared said:

    If you look at the Gallop tracking, you'll see that Obama consistently under performs over weekends, then gains midweek. Someone noted that this reflects that younger Obamma voters tend not to be home on weekends and are more available weeknights.

    In addition, the construct of 'likely voters' is used to define the tracked voters. This demographic is defined as people who voted in the last two presidential elections. There are huge numbers of new voters that will be voting Obama. It would be interesting to see a poll taking into account 'registered voters'.

    Also note that as of yesterday, Gallup noted that Obama retook the lead from McCain and that "A better night for Obama in Gallup's Tuesday tracking interviews, however, suggests that a convention bounce could develop."

    August 28, 2008 10:50 AM
  • Adam said:

    The Spock pic was supposed to conjure up the phrase "Highly illogical." (The DJ stuff is superfluous.)

    August 28, 2008 11:06 AM

Leave a Comment

Login | Not a member yet? Click here to Join
Follow the Boston Phoenix
twitter facebook myspace youtube rss
All Blogs
Related Articles

0911_quote_list
Boston Phoenix
Difference of opinion
Published 11/6/2009 by ADAM REILLY
Peter Canellos reinvents Globe ’s editorial page. Plus, Tom Menino’s campaign gets late-breaking help from the Banner and Herald .

0910_citizen_list
Boston Phoenix
Review: Law Abiding Citizen
Published 10/16/2009 by SHAULA CLARK
Kind of fun, if you can ignore its politics

more by Adam Reilly
Difference of opinion | November 06, 2009
The importance of being Ernie | October 16, 2009
Latter day taint | October 09, 2009
Globe staffers to publisher: save us from healthcare "caste system" | October 08, 2009
New in the Phoenix: Glenn Beck's Mormon roots | October 07, 2009

 See all articles by: Adam Reilly

ADVERTISEMENT
Latest Comments
Coakley's Stand -- A Union Problem? - Sorry David, but it seems the only unions that have a problem with Coakley's vote are the Unions backing...

By Striker57 on 11-10-2009 in Talking Politics

Happy Carl Sagan Day! - It was stirring to see so many children attending and taking part in science activities, while showing...

By ROKeefe on 11-10-2009 in Laser Orgy

Obama's Fort Hood screw-up - This is such a non-issue. You need to pull your head out of your ass and look at the bigger picture.

By Randy on 11-10-2009 in Dont Quote Me

Ugh, ugh, ugh: Drummer Gerhardt "Jerry" Fuchs (!!!/Turing Machine/Maserati/Juan Maclean) dead at 34 - WHY DID YOU HAVE TO GIVE IT SUCH A STUPID TITLE :(

By Kendra on 11-09-2009 in On The Download

City Council Forums - УЗНАЙ ПРО ВСЕ СКРЫТЫЕ ВОЗМОЖНОСТИ СОЦИАЛЬНОЙ СЕТИ «VKONTAKTE.RU» Ты знаешь, что такое «Вконтакте»...

By roolcateptara on 11-09-2009 in Talking Politics

Latest Comments from Dont Quote Me
Most Viewed
VIDEO + SLIDESHOW: Nintendo Music Thursday at Felt
Dead Man's Bones hate balloons, kick off US tour tomorrow in Boston
Ticket On-Sale Alert: Eyedea & Abilities + Themselves, Joe Perry, Gregg Allman, and more
VIDEO: HUMANWINE, Ketman, and What Time Is It, Mr. Fox? at TT's
Mp3: Hallelujah the Hills leak new single, kick off massive US tour
Congrats to Audible Mainframe - Winners of the SPIN Magazine "Road to Austin" Contest
Slaine, Freddy Madball, Jaysaun, Esoteric and others team up for Benefit Concert at Church next Monday (10/19)
Most Viewed from Dont Quote Me
Search Blogs
 
Dont Quote Me Archives
Wednesday, November 11, 2009  |  Sign In  |  Register
 
TODAY'S FEATURED ADVERTISERS
thePhoenix.com
Phoenix Media/Communications Group
Copyright © 2009 The Phoenix Media/Communications Group