Giuliani - Stark Ravings

January 30, 2008

Why Giuliani Lost
By webteam
Why Giuliani lost -- the Tote Board's take.

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Giuliani, Republicans

January 25, 2008

However One Assesses Last Night's Debate, It Was Not A Breakthrough Performance for Rudy
By webteam
However one assesses last night's debate, Rudy Giuliani did not stand out. His candidacy is in serious trouble, since a Florida victory seems increasingly unlikely.

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Giuliani, Republicans

January 24, 2008

In Tonight's Florida GOP Debate, Watch Rudy
By webteam

We've stopped analyzing every debate, on the theory that the importance of these contests has been overrated and the audiences have been relatively small. But tonight may be an exception. Rudy Giiuliani is seeing his Florida firewall collapse and if he can't turn things around before Tuesday, his campaign is over. Tonight, he has to make a major positive impression. It will be interesting to see how he tries to do it.

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Giuliani, Republicans

January 22, 2008

One Florida Sub-Plot: McCain vs. Giuliani
By webteam
McCain vs. Giuliani in Florida -- the Tote Board's take.

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Giuliani, McCain, Republicans

December 14, 2007

The Rasmussen Poll Now Has Giuliani Behind in Florida
By webteam

We're not paying that much attention to the flood of polls now pouring out -- causing a kind of media frenzy -- because at this point, the polls are all over the lot and they will change in the days ahead. But when there is an important trend or development we'll note it, and that's happened this morning with the news that the latest Rasmussen Poll shows Rudy Giuliani has lost his lead in Florida to Mike Huckabee and Mitt Romney.

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Giuliani, Republicans

December 05, 2007

Rasmussen National Poll Now Has Huckabee As GOP Front-Runner
By webteam
It is one heck of a turnaround: Rasmussen now has Huckabee in first place among Republicans in a national poll, albeit with only 20% of the vote.
What's caused this is that Rudy Giuliani has dropped a full ten points in the last six days -- no doubt in reaction to the "scandal" stories that emerged last week about Giuliani and the NYPD providing security and transportation for his then-mistress, Judith Nathan.

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Giuliani, Huckabee, Republicans

November 14, 2007

The New York Times GOP Numbers: If They're Right, Huckabee is Within Striking Distance of Romney in Iowa
By webteam

The GOP Republican numbers in Iowa and New Hampshire, according to the latest New York Times poll:

IOWA

Romney 27%
Huckabee 21%
Giuliani 15%
(just the top 3 listed)

NEW HAMPSHIRE

Romney 34%
Giuliani 16%
McCain 16%
(just the top 3 listed)

Three significant things to watch: First, Huckabee is within striking distance of an upset in Iowa.

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Giuliani, Huckabee, McCain

November 11, 2007

In the Latest National Rasmussen Poll, The Real News Is the Growing Strength of Romney
By webteam

Rasmussen is out with another national match-up today and while John McCain, again, continues to be the only Republican to run ahead of Hillary, the real news is that Romney now only trails Clinton by 5% -- 47%-42%.
This continues an upwards trajectory for Romney in matchups against Clinton and means that in Rasmussen's polls at least, Giuliani currently runs no more strongly against the Democratic front-runner than Romney does.

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Giuliani, Huckabee, McCain

November 04, 2007

The New Washington Post and Newsweek Polls: Good News for Hillary; Bad News for Mitt and Fred
By webteam

As we've noted before, national polls at this point have little predictive value but they do affect perceptions on the ground a bit in Iowa and New Hampshire. Thus two new polls this weekend that show Hillary ahead of Giuliani nationally will help quiet any discontent brewing against her front-runnership, since one of the main threats to her candidacy among Democrats is the fear that she can't win a general election.

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Clinton, Democrats, Giuliani

October 31, 2007

Quinnipiac Joins Rasmussen In Showing Giuliani With A Lead Over Hillary
By webteam
More problems for Hillary: Now Quinnipiac joins Rasmussen in also showing Rudy ahead of her in the national numbers. (McCain is tied with her.)
Electability began to become an issue last night -- and we can expect to hear more about it from Hillary's opponents in the days ahead. The problem is that her two main Democratic opponents aren't really doing statistically better -- though Obama does manage to squeak by Giuliani by a single point in this latest Quinnipiac survey.

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Clinton, Democrats, Giuliani

October 29, 2007

In the Latest National Rasmussen Poll, Giuliani Is Now Ahead of Hillary Again
By webteam

Polls obviously don't mean much at this stage, a year before the election. But if Rudy Giuliani gets the GOP nod, Democrats should not assume the cakewalk many are currently assuming. In the latest Rasmussen match-up, Giuliani now leads Clinton by two percentage points which, given the current weak state of the GOP, is either a remarkable testament to Rudy, awful weakness by Hillary (not that Obama is doing that well either) or both.

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Clinton, Democrats, Edwards

October 19, 2007

Is Giuliani Still the GOP's Most Electable Candidate? A New Rasmussen Poll Suggests Otherwise
By webteam

It's kind of been lost in the flood of other news but a new Rasmussen series of polls suggest that John McCain is currently the GOP contender who would run strongest against Hillary Clinton. MCain trails Clinton by a single point; Giulani trails by a good seven points. In Rasmussen's latest polls, even Mitt Romney only trails Clinton by six.

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Giuliani, McCain, Republicans

October 17, 2007

New Rasmussen GOP Poll Has Romney Lead in Iowa Down to 6 With Huckabee Moving Up
By webteam

The latest Rasmussen numbers in Iowa for the GOP have Romney at 25%, Thompson at 19%, Huckabee at 18%, and Giuliani in fourth at 13%.
That's tight enough to make the race impossible to call, much less at this early stage. But two things to watch:

-- Huckabee is moving up in the state and if Fred Thompson continues to disappoint audiences, Huckabee could consolidate the support on the Right and steal the caucus;

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Giuliani, Huckabee, Republicans

October 16, 2007

Memo to Giuliani: Play in Iowa Or Else
By webteam
Today, the Tote Board offers advice to Rudy Giuliani: If he bypasses Iowa, he risks losing everything.

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Giuliani, Republicans

October 02, 2007

Some Social Conservatives Say They'll Go Third Party If Giuliani Is Nominated
By webteam
The Politico is reporting that some prominent social conservatives have raised the spectre of a third party movement if Rudy Giuliani is nominated.
This is a significant threat to his general election chances -- and indeed to the party's as a whole -- since Giuliani is currently the only Republican candidate running close to the Democratic contenders.

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Giuliani, Republicans

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Boston Phoenix
Why Giuliani Lost
Published 1/30/2008 by Importer
Why Giuliani lost -- the Tote Board's take.

Boston Phoenix
However One Assesses Last Night's Debate, It Was Not A Breakthrough Performance for Rudy
Published 1/25/2008 by Importer
However one assesses last night's debate, Rudy Giuliani did not stand out. His candidacy is in serious trouble, since a Florida victory seems increasingly...

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