November 2007 - Posts - Talking Politics

November 28, 2007

New In The Phoenix: Mayoral Contender Power Rankings
By David S. Bernstein

Two years out from the 2009 Boston mayoral vote, I take a look at whether there's any chance of someone other than Tom Menino winning that election -- and rank the 40 Bostonians with the best shot at it. My top five: 1) Michael Flaherty, 2) Ralph Martin, 3) John Tobin, 4) Chris Gabrieli, 5) Steve Lynch.

It's in this week's Phoenix, out tomorrow but online now:

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November 28, 2007

More From The Bloch Head
By David S. Bernstein

Scott Bloch, head of the Office of Special Counsel (OSC), is back in the news. In May 2005 I told you about Bloch, in an article titled "Bush's House Homophobe." At that time, the White House had assigned an Inspector General to investigate complaints filed against Bloch. That investigation has yielded little to date, thanks to Bloch's stonewalling and obfuscating.

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November 28, 2007

Mitt's Woeful Crime Record
By David S. Bernstein
As the Daniel Tavares Jr. double-murder tragedy continues to dog Mitt Romney on the campaign trial, it's worth revisiting and updating some data that the Phoenix uncovered a year ago, in the midst of then-Lieutenant Governor Kerry Healey's attempt to portray gubernatorial opponent Deval Patrick as soft on violent crime.

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November 27, 2007

Ted K's "Secret Love Child" Sues
By David S. Bernstein
You may recall a brief flurry of gossip, nearly two years ago, that our own Senator Edward Kennedy had a secret love child, fathered 20 years earlier. That alleged love-child, and love-mother, are both residents of East Sandwich, and today they filed a lawsuit in Boston's federal court against the National Enquirer, which "broke" the story in February 2006.

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November 27, 2007

GOP Gaining Ground With Black Voters? Hardly
By David S. Bernstein
The Joint Center for Political and Economic Studies released survey results today that show how popular Hillary Clinton is among African-Americans. Really, really, popular -- slightly moreso than Barack Obama. John Edwards also rates well. Republicans not so much -- all four Republican Presidential candidates included in the survey received more unfavorable ratings than favorables.

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November 26, 2007

WMUR-TV, Getting Fat Off Mitt
By David S. Bernstein
The Granite Prof has numbers on WMUR ad buys. Our old friend Mitt Romney has invested heavily, sayeth the professor:
During October, Romney regularly spent more than $100,000 a week on ad buys at WMUR-TV, New Hampshire's only statewide commercial television station.

This month, Romney upped the ante yet again. His campaign is now spending more than $200,000 a week on WMUR:

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November 20, 2007

Arroyo's Money Gap
By David S. Bernstein
Newly filed campaign-finance reports covering the first half of November -- including the final week leading up to the city election -- show just how badly Felix Arroyo was outspent by the four at-large candidates who defeated him. Here are the expenditures for that period, in order of finish.

Michael Flaherty: $61,773

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November 19, 2007

Romney Extends NH Lead
By David S. Bernstein
A new CNN/WMUR poll of likely primary voters finds Romney's lead widening -- mostly because Giuliani's numbers are falling:

Romney: 33%
McCain: 18%
Giuliani: 16%

Ron Paul -- who, New Hampshirites tell me, has a ubiquitous advertising presence up there -- is at 8 percent, followed by Huckabee at 5. Fred Thompson, who apparently never got the memo that Granite State voters expect you to campaign there in person, has slipped from merely embarassing to actually humiliating, at sixth place.

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November 15, 2007

Oops! ARG Not So Hot For Romney
By David S. Bernstein
Well, forget what I said yesterday about American Research Group's mysteriously Romney-favorable polling. Today ARG released a new poll of Iowa likely Republican caucus-goers that shows Romney's lead whittled to a sliver: Romney 26%, Huckabee 24%.

BTW, be sure to read today's New York Times feature on Mitt's coming of age, as a Mormon missionary in France and then at BYU.

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November 14, 2007

I'll Be Gov For You
By David S. Bernstein
NYPost's Page 6 sez that Jon Bon Jovi might be considering running for governor of New Jersey.

This explains a great mystery of the fifth floor of City Hall: those pictures of JBJ gracing the wall of a certain City Councilor staff member are campaign posters.

Sources speculate that the above-mentioned staffer's loyalty to her current boss could be broken by a job offer from Mr. Bon Jovi's political team....

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November 14, 2007

ARG's Romney Radar
By David S. Bernstein
A couple of weeks ago I blogged about American Research Group polling that had Mitt Romney surging in South Carolina -- in sharp contrast with all other polling in that state.

Now ARG's latest national GOP preference poll has Romney vaulting to an incredible 21% -- in a solid second place, within 4 points of Giuliani. No other national survey has put him higher than 14%, and most have him at 11 or 12 nationally.

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November 14, 2007

Marzilli In Middlesex
By David S. Bernstein
Jim Marzilli -- buoyed, no doubt, by his inclusion among Boston Phoenix's recent list of "green heroes," zoomed to victory in yesterday's primary, in the race to succeed state senator Robert Havern out in the 4th Middlesex. Along the way, he broke the Curse of Blue Mass Group, but extended the victory streak of Italians, who have won consecutive special elections for state senate (Anthony Petrucelli and Anthony Galluccio) and should make it three with Marzilli.

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November 14, 2007

Romney In Trouble In Iowa?
By David S. Bernstein
Mitt Romney's strategy for winning the Republican nomination begins with winning Iowa, and pretty much ends if he doesn't. Until recently he was dominating the polls there -- although, as I've previously noted, he's never pulled a real powerhouse percentage, even with Giuliani, McCain, and Fred Thompson largely skipping the state.

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November 09, 2007

Eye On Strickland
By David S. Bernstein
My prediction for Hillary Clinton's VP choice (should she get the nomination) endorsed her today: Ohio Governor Ted Strickland.

That's all. I just wanted to go on the record with that....

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November 07, 2007

New In The Phoenix: The Dirty Truth About Eco-Living
By David S. Bernstein
This week's issue of the Phoenix, out tomorrow, is a special "Green Issue." My contribution is a contratian essay arguing that eco-living -- changing one's personal habits to combat global warming -- is a corporate strategy to distract attention from what really needs to be done... and to make profits off of well-intentioned consumers' concerns about the earth.

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